FK Tukums 2000 0-5 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
12.23
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
64%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
22%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
5%
+12.1pp
19%
Draw
12%
+7.1pp
64%
Away Win
84%
-19.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 90%
+16% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
0.98/2.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.95/0.67
+49% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +55%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 78%
12.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 47.0
10.6 Crosses 31.2
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Tukums 2000
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Riga FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.44 xG 2.56
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 9
212 Passes 444
69% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 45
6 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.05.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 3-0 HT 2-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
16.04.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-1 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
06.10.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 4-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
23.07.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-6 HT 0-3 Riga FC Riga FC LET
21.05.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 5-1 HT 2-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
10.04.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-2 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Tukums 2000
0-5
AWAY Riga FC
0.54 xG 5.15
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 29
5 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 16
234 Passes 426
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 72
6 Crosses 41
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Tukums 2000 vs Riga FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC ran out comfortable winners over FK Tukums 2000 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 36% of the ball to Riga FC's 64%, shots finished 9-29, expected goals 0.54 to 5.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 3.50 for Riga FC.

What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs Riga FC?

FK Tukums 2000 0-5 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 17%, draw 19%, Riga FC 64%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5
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