FS Jelgava 0-4 Valmiera / BSS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
9.57
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
63%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
8%
+6.4pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.4pp
63%
Away Win
76%
-12.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.0pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Valmiera / BSS EU Bookmakers 80%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -1%
0.86/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/0.93
-19% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -2%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
176 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 507 · 85%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.6
13.5 Crosses 29.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FS Jelgava
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Valmiera / BSS
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.12 xG 2.11
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
200 Passes 360
65% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.05.2024 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 4-0 HT 2-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
18.04.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-3 HT 0-1 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
05.11.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-1 HT 0-1 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
13.08.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 2-2 HT 1-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
05.06.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-0 HT 0-0 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
24.04.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 2-0 HT 2-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FS Jelgava
0-4
AWAY Valmiera / BSS
0.72 xG 2.16
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 28
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 10
138 Passes 325
60% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 62
15 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FS Jelgava vs Valmiera / BSS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valmiera / BSS cruised past FS Jelgava 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Valmiera / BSS as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, FS Jelgava had 35% of the ball to Valmiera / BSS's 65%, shots finished 10-28, expected goals 0.72 to 2.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valmiera / BSS led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FS Jelgava and 2.00 for Valmiera / BSS.

What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs Valmiera / BSS?

FS Jelgava 0-4 Valmiera / BSS in the Latvia - Virsliga on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs Valmiera / BSS?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valmiera / BSS win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 14%, draw 23%, Valmiera / BSS 63%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valmiera / BSS), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valmiera / BSS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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