Auda vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Auda v BFC Daugavpils — Team-Based Signals
Auda vs BFC Daugavpils Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
BFC Daugavpils
LET
0-2
HT 0-2
Auda
LET
1-4
HT 0-1
Auda
LETK
1-1
HT 0-1
BFC Daugavpils
LET
Auda 1-0 BFC Daugavpils — Actual Match Statistics
Auda squeezed past BFC Daugavpils 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Auda as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Auda had 65% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 35%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.32 to 0.49.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auda had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Auda and 0.33 for BFC Daugavpils.
What was the final score of Auda vs BFC Daugavpils?
Auda 1-0 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Auda vs BFC Daugavpils?
Before kick-off our model rated a Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Auda 58%, draw 22%, BFC Daugavpils 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auda), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.