BFC Daugavpils 0-3 Auda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 28 May 2024

BFC Daugavpils
0-3 HT 0-1
Auda
📅28/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Latvia - Virsliga – 2024

BFC Daugavpils vs Auda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
44%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+9.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
44%
Away Win
54%
-10.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

BFC Daugavpils v Auda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Auda EU Bookmakers 58%
-6% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.87/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.89
-18% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +140%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
221 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 473 · 83%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
19.7 Crosses 19.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

BFC Daugavpils vs Auda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFC Daugavpils
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Auda
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.72 xG 1.70
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
216 Passes 491
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.04.2024 Auda Auda 1-0 HT 1-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
11.11.2023 Auda Auda 1-0 HT 0-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
27.08.2023 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 0-2 HT 0-2 Auda Auda LET
16.07.2023 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-4 HT 0-1 Auda Auda LETK
10.06.2023 Auda Auda 1-1 HT 0-1 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
28.04.2023 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 0-2 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET

BFC Daugavpils 0-3 Auda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BFC Daugavpils
0-3
AWAY Auda
0.38 xG 1.44
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
237 Passes 549
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 31
6 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH BFC Daugavpils vs Auda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auda cruised past BFC Daugavpils 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Auda as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 33% of the ball to Auda's 67%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 0.38 to 1.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auda led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 1.83 for Auda.

What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs Auda?

BFC Daugavpils 0-3 Auda in the Latvia - Virsliga on 28/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs Auda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 31%, draw 25%, Auda 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auda), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Auda) ✓ BTTS No
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