FK Tukums 2000 0-3 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
12.23
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
62%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
5%
+12.0pp
21%
Draw
10%
+10.7pp
62%
Away Win
84%
-22.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.6pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 90%
+17% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.97/2.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.01/0.71
+33% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +30%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
238 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 81%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 46.9
10.5 Crosses 30.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Tukums 2000
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Riga FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.83
0.49 xG 3.71
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 10
214 Passes 424
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Box Touches 53
6 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 10-1 HT 4-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
04.08.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-5 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
29.05.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 3-0 HT 2-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
16.04.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-1 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
06.10.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 4-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
23.07.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-6 HT 0-3 Riga FC Riga FC LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Tukums 2000
0-3
AWAY Riga FC
0.50 xG 3.33
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
175 Passes 350
62% Pass Accuracy 80%
6 Box Touches 36
9 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Tukums 2000 vs Riga FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC ran out comfortable winners over FK Tukums 2000 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 39% of the ball to Riga FC's 61%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 0.50 to 3.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 4.83 for Riga FC.

What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs Riga FC?

FK Tukums 2000 0-3 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 17%, draw 21%, Riga FC 62%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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