Metta / LU Riga 0-1 Auda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.71
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
48%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+8.0pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.9pp
48%
Away Win
60%
-11.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Auda EU Bookmakers 64%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -2%
1.05/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/0.98
+23% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +18%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
275 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 78%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.3
21.7 Crosses 18.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metta / LU Riga
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Auda
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.54 xG 2.19
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
333 Passes 480
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
13 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Auda Auda 5-0 HT 2-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
25.08.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-4 HT 0-1 Auda Auda LET
16.06.2024 Auda Auda 4-0 HT 3-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
26.04.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-3 HT 0-2 Auda Auda LET
15.09.2023 Auda Auda 3-1 HT 2-1 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
29.06.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-1 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metta / LU Riga
0-1
AWAY Auda
0.24 xG 1.42
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 3
309 Passes 421
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Metta / LU Riga vs Auda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auda edged past Metta / LU Riga 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Auda as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Metta / LU Riga had 44% of the ball to Auda's 56%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 0.24 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auda led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Metta / LU Riga and 3.33 for Auda.

What was the final score of Metta / LU Riga vs Auda?

Metta / LU Riga 0-1 Auda in the Latvia - Virsliga on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metta / LU Riga vs Auda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Metta / LU Riga 26%, draw 26%, Auda 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auda) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Auda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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