Alianza 2-1 FAS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 22 May 2024

Alianza
2-1 HT 1-1
FAS
📅22/05/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.4pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FAS EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.68/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.63
+4% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FAS
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
19.05.2024 FAS FAS 1-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
02.05.2024 Alianza Alianza 0-0 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
07.03.2024 FAS FAS 0-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
26.10.2023 FAS FAS 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
19.08.2023 Alianza Alianza 5-3 HT 5-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
21.05.2023 Alianza Alianza 0-2 FAS FAS ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs FAS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza squeezed past FAS 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alianza and 1.00 for FAS.

What was the final score of Alianza vs FAS?

Alianza 2-1 FAS in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs FAS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Alianza 50%, draw 25%, FAS 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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