HJK Helsinki 1-0 Gnistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.45
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
28%
2.87
6+ Goals
13%
8.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.75
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.9
X/1
21%
3.67
X/2
6%
13.3
X/X
6%
6.83
2/1
7%
20.75
2/2
8%
9.95
2/X
7%
18.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
64%
-5.9pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.5pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Gnistan EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.91/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/2.59
+16% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -48%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
16.3 Crosses 12.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HJK Helsinki
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Gnistan
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
23 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
03.02.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 1-2 HT 1-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FLK
26.01.2018 Gnistan Gnistan 0-8 HT 0-3 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HJK Helsinki
1-0
AWAY Gnistan
63% Ball Possession 37%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
426 Passes 198
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
POST-MATCH HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HJK Helsinki nicked a narrow win over Gnistan 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had HJK Helsinki as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HJK Helsinki had 63% of the ball to Gnistan's 37%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals for HJK Helsinki and 0.50 for Gnistan.

What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan?

HJK Helsinki 1-0 Gnistan in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 59%, draw 21%, Gnistan 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HJK Helsinki) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN More Finland - Veikkausliiga
22 May 2024
18:00 VPS vs KuPS Kuopio Analysis →
20:00 Ilves Tampere vs Inter Turku Analysis →