VPS 1-3 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.96
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.56
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
7%
4.91
X/2
13%
5.9
X/X
11%
3.72
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
16%
4.6
2/X
8%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.1pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VPS EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.24/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.99
+25% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
20.1 Crosses 17.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VPS
2W-1D-3L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.43 xG 0.90
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
358 Passes 405
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
10.05.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-1 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FİN
08.02.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 5-0 HT 3-0 VPS VPS FLK
17.09.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-2 HT 0-1 VPS VPS FİN
08.07.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-1 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FİN
11.06.2023 VPS VPS 0-2 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
25.02.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-1 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VPS
1-3
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.51 xG 2.13
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
382 Passes 399
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 28
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH VPS vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio got the better of VPS 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; KuPS Kuopio found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, VPS had 49% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 51%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 0.51 to 2.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for VPS and 1.67 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of VPS vs KuPS Kuopio?

VPS 1-3 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VPS vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated a VPS win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split VPS 39%, draw 27%, KuPS Kuopio 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (VPS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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