Winterthur 2-0 Sion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 22 May 2025

📅22/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.15
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.15 — our 27% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.6
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
14%
4.83
X/2
9%
7.95
X/X
11%
5.35
2/1
8%
22.45
2/2
15%
5.61
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winterthur EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sion EU Bookmakers 29%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -19%
1.23/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.52
-1% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
13.2 Crosses 19.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winterthur
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sion
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.89 xG 1.38
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
295 Passes 396
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2025 Sion Sion 1-2 HT 1-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
01.12.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-3 Sion Sion İSV
10.08.2024 Sion Sion 2-0 HT 0-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
06.05.2023 Sion Sion 0-1 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
18.02.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 1-1 HT 1-0 Sion Sion İSV
18.10.2022 Winterthur Winterthur 1-0 HT 1-0 Sion Sion İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Winterthur
2-0
AWAY Sion
1.41 xG 0.75
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
331 Passes 504
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Winterthur vs Sion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Winterthur got the better of Sion 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Winterthur as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Winterthur had 42% of the ball to Sion's 58%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.41 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Winterthur had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Winterthur and 1.17 for Sion.

What was the final score of Winterthur vs Sion?

Winterthur 2-0 Sion in the Switzerland - Super League on 22/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winterthur vs Sion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Winterthur win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Winterthur 45%, draw 26%, Sion 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Winterthur), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Winterthur) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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