Panaitolikos 1-0 Panserraikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 22 May 2025

📅22/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.95
Over 2.5
41%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
62%
-9.8pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.7pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 19%
+9% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.28/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.95
-35% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
13.7 Crosses 12.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panaitolikos
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Panserraikos
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.45 xG 1.34
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
292 Passes 392
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.04.2025 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-1 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
22.12.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-0 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
31.08.2024 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 3-0 HT 1-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
16.03.2024 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 3-0 HT 2-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
04.01.2024 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 3-2 HT 1-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
02.09.2023 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-1 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panaitolikos
1-0
AWAY Panserraikos
1.92 xG 0.39
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
407 Passes 277
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
41 Box Touches 8
28 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Panaitolikos vs Panserraikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panaitolikos nicked a narrow win over Panserraikos 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Panaitolikos as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Panaitolikos had 59% of the ball to Panserraikos's 41%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.92 to 0.39 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Panaitolikos's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panaitolikos had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Panaitolikos and 0.67 for Panserraikos.

What was the final score of Panaitolikos vs Panserraikos?

Panaitolikos 1-0 Panserraikos in the Greece - Super League on 22/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panaitolikos vs Panserraikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panaitolikos win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Panaitolikos 53%, draw 28%, Panserraikos 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panaitolikos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Panaitolikos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUN More Greece - Super League
22 May 2025
18:00 Levadiakos vs Volos NFC Analysis →