Afturelding 4-3 Throttur Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 22 May 2026

📅22/05/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
42%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
42%
Away Win
33%
+8.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.0pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afturelding EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Throttur Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 37%
-20% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -26%
1.25/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/2.48
-31% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afturelding
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Throttur Reykjavik
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2024 Afturelding Afturelding 1-0 HT 1-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
13.06.2024 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 1-2 HT 1-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
16.09.2023 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 2-1 HT 0-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
12.07.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 1-0 HT 0-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
28.08.2021 Afturelding Afturelding 3-1 HT 1-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
26.06.2021 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 1-3 HT 0-2 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Afturelding
4-3
AWAY Throttur Reykjavik
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Afturelding vs Throttur Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afturelding nicked a narrow win over Throttur Reykjavik 4-3. Half-time: 3-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 22% / 42% — and on the day Afturelding made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Afturelding had 49% of the ball to Throttur Reykjavik's 51%, shots finished 13-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Afturelding had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Afturelding and 0.83 for Throttur Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Afturelding vs Throttur Reykjavik?

Afturelding 4-3 Throttur Reykjavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 22/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afturelding vs Throttur Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Throttur Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Afturelding 37%, draw 22%, Throttur Reykjavik 42%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Throttur Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Throttur Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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