Machida Zelvia 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 22 May 2026

📅22/05/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.54
Over
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.05
No
49%
1.69
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.22
2-3
41%
1.71
4-5
20%
4.82
6+
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Machida Zelvia The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds The Market 31%
-12% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
1.34/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.44
-3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
359 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
19.6 Crosses 15.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Machida Zelvia
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.64 xG 0.69
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
283 Passes 375
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.03.2026 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-2 HT 0-1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
25.10.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-0 HT 0-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
13.04.2025 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0-2 HT 0-2 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
31.08.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 2-2 HT 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
26.05.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-2 HT 0-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Machida Zelvia
1-0
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
0.71 xG 0.51
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
339 Passes 557
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
23 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Machida Zelvia vs Urawa Red Diamonds
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Machida Zelvia came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Machida Zelvia as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Machida Zelvia had 39% of the ball to Urawa Red Diamonds's 61%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 0.71 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Machida Zelvia had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Machida Zelvia and 1.20 for Urawa Red Diamonds.

Machida Zelvia vs Urawa Red Diamonds Result & Final Score

Machida Zelvia 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds in the Japan - J1 League on 22/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Machida Zelvia vs Urawa Red Diamonds Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Machida Zelvia 42%, draw 29%, Urawa Red Diamonds 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Machida Zelvia), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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