CA Penarol vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities
CA Penarol v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals
CA Penarol vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
CA Penarol 1-1 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol and Corinthians finished all square at 1-1. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
A draw from a 39% / 28% / 33% read is the model being honest — some games really are too close to call. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.
By the numbers, Corinthians saw more of the ball, 65% to 35%, shots finished 16-21, expected goals 0.68 to 2.16.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for CA Penarol against 0.67 for Corinthians.
CA Penarol vs Corinthians Result & Final Score
CA Penarol 1-1 Corinthians in the Copa Libertadores on 22/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
CA Penarol vs Corinthians Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 39%, draw 28%, Corinthians 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CA Penarol), BTTS No went the other way.