Deportivo La Guaira 2-4 Independiente Rivadavia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 22 May 2026

Deportivo La Guaira
2-4 HT 1-2
Independiente Rivadavia
📅22/05/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Copa Libertadores – 2026

Deportivo La Guaira vs Independiente Rivadavia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
54%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.48
Over
39%
2.3
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.31
No
61%
1.54
Total Goals
0-1
40%
2.14
2-3
38%
1.75
4-5
16%
5.39
6+
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.58
1/2
4%
31.0
1/X
4%
17.35
X/1
9%
8.21
X/2
16%
3.95
X/X
16%
3.81
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
33%
2.53
2/X
6%
15.8
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Deportivo La Guaira v Independiente Rivadavia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira The Market 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia The Market 55%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
– Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better –
– Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better –
Weak Attackvs comparable teams –
Great Defensevs comparable teams –
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
267 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
12.8 Crosses –
3.3 Yellow Cards –

Deportivo La Guaira vs Independiente Rivadavia Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.26 xG 3.34
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
268 Passes 281
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 21
7 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.05.2026 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 4-1 HT 3-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira LKU

Deportivo La Guaira 2-4 Independiente Rivadavia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
2-4
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
0.81 xG 2.63
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 3
318 Passes 234
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Deportivo La Guaira vs Independiente Rivadavia
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Independiente Rivadavia saw off Deportivo La Guaira 4-2 on the road. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente Rivadavia as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Deportivo La Guaira had 55% of the ball to Independiente Rivadavia's 45%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 0.81 to 2.63.

Deportivo La Guaira vs Independiente Rivadavia Result & Final Score

Deportivo La Guaira 2-4 Independiente Rivadavia in the Copa Libertadores on 22/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Deportivo La Guaira vs Independiente Rivadavia Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Rivadavia win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 20%, draw 26%, Independiente Rivadavia 54%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LKU More Copa Libertadores
22 May 2026
03:30 CA Penarol vs Corinthians Analysis →
03:30 Universidad Catolica vs Barcelona SC Analysis →