Independiente Rivadavia vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Rivadavia v Deportivo La Guaira — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Rivadavia 4-1 Deportivo La Guaira — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Rivadavia swept aside Deportivo La Guaira 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Independiente Rivadavia as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Independiente Rivadavia had 52% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 48%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 3.34 to 0.26.
What was the final score of Independiente Rivadavia vs Deportivo La Guaira?
Independiente Rivadavia 4-1 Deportivo La Guaira in the Copa Libertadores on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Rivadavia vs Deportivo La Guaira?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Rivadavia win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Independiente Rivadavia 71%, draw 19%, Deportivo La Guaira 10%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.