Bolivar 2-0 Fluminense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.9
No
42%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.62
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.13
6+ Goals
11%
20.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.81
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
9%
4.51
X/2
12%
7.17
X/X
12%
4.17
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
27.5
2/2
11%
5.75
2/X
8%
14.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 11% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
49%
+9.3pp
42%
BTTS No
51%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolivar EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Fluminense EU Bookmakers 29%
+32% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +19%
1.65/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.38
+61% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +39%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
29.9 Crosses 11.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolivar
2-0
AWAY Fluminense
0.68 xG 0.18
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 1
423 Passes 426
93% Pass Accuracy 91%
15 Box Touches 5
13 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bolivar vs Fluminense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivar got the better of Fluminense 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bolivar as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bolivar had 49% of the ball to Fluminense's 51%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 0.68 to 0.18.

What was the final score of Bolivar vs Fluminense?

Bolivar 2-0 Fluminense in the Copa Libertadores on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolivar vs Fluminense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bolivar 43%, draw 27%, Fluminense 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolivar) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bolivar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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