Independiente Medellin 1-0 Cusco FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.1
Over 2.5
42%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.02
6+ Goals
10%
9.79
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 31% vs market 20.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.67
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
17.85
X/1
18%
3.8
X/2
7%
14.3
X/X
8%
6.43
2/1
9%
21.8
2/2
5%
12.25
2/X
9%
20.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
67%
-3.7pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.4pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 16%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.91/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.47
-23% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
381 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
15.5 Crosses 8.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Medellin
1-0
AWAY Cusco FC
1.12 xG 0.39
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
467 Passes 247
91% Pass Accuracy 81%
36 Box Touches 9
27 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Independiente Medellin vs Cusco FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Medellin edged past Cusco FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente Medellin as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Independiente Medellin had 63% of the ball to Cusco FC's 37%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 1.12 to 0.39.

What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Cusco FC?

Independiente Medellin 1-0 Cusco FC in the Copa Libertadores on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Cusco FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 63%, draw 22%, Cusco FC 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Medellin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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