Corinthians vs CA Penarol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Corinthians v CA Penarol — Team-Based Signals
Corinthians vs CA Penarol Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Corinthians
CON CSA
0-2
HT 0-1
CA Penarol
CON CSA
Corinthians 2-0 CA Penarol — Actual Match Statistics
Corinthians beat CA Penarol 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Corinthians as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Corinthians had 78% of the ball to CA Penarol's 22%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.14 to 0.29.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, CA Penarol led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Corinthians and 3.00 for CA Penarol.
What was the final score of Corinthians vs CA Penarol?
Corinthians 2-0 CA Penarol in the Copa Libertadores on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Corinthians vs CA Penarol?
Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 64%, draw 25%, CA Penarol 11%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Corinthians), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.