El Gounah vs El Geish Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Gounah v El Geish — Team-Based Signals
El Gounah vs El Geish Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
El Gounah
MSR
2-1
HT 1-0
El Geish
MSR
El Gounah 2-1 El Geish — Actual Match Statistics
El Gounah nicked a narrow win over El Geish 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 25% / 35% / 40% — and on the day El Gounah made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, El Gounah had 40% of the ball to El Geish's 60%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 2.02 to 0.34 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold El Gounah's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Gounah had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for El Gounah and 0.50 for El Geish.
What was the final score of El Gounah vs El Geish?
El Gounah 2-1 El Geish in the Egypt - Premier League on 22/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Gounah vs El Geish?
Before kick-off our model rated an El Geish win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split El Gounah 25%, draw 35%, El Geish 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.