El Geish 0-1 El Gounah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
33%
2.66
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.33
Over 2.5
32%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.51
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
1.71
2-3 Goals
36%
1.88
4-5 Goals
14%
7.84
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-3.6pp
33%
Draw
34%
-1.5pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+5.1pp
68%
Under 2.5
72%
-3.5pp
32%
Over 2.5
28%
+3.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.3pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Geish EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY El Gounah EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -10%
0.90/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.94
+5% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -45%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 70%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
16.1 Crosses 15.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Geish
1W-3D-2L
AWAY El Gounah
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.63 xG 0.76
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
274 Passes 229
71% Pass Accuracy 68%
15 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2025 El Gounah El Gounah 0-1 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
07.02.2025 El Geish El Geish 0-0 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
21.05.2024 El Gounah El Gounah 0-0 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
30.11.2023 El Geish El Geish 1-1 HT 0-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
17.07.2022 El Gounah El Gounah 2-1 HT 1-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
09.02.2022 El Geish El Geish 0-1 HT 0-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Geish
0-1
AWAY El Gounah
0.96 xG 0.59
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
205 Passes 195
66% Pass Accuracy 69%
27 Box Touches 12
33 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH El Geish vs El Gounah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Gounah edged past El Geish 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 33% / 38% — and on the day El Gounah made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, El Geish had 54% of the ball to El Gounah's 46%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.96 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Gounah led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for El Geish and 0.67 for El Gounah.

What was the final score of El Geish vs El Gounah?

El Geish 0-1 El Gounah in the Egypt - Premier League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Geish vs El Gounah?

Before kick-off our model rated an El Gounah win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split El Geish 29%, draw 33%, El Gounah 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Gounah), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (El Gounah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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