Kahraba Ismailia 2-4 Al Ahly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
7.95
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
71%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.71
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.02
6+ Goals
13%
9.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
45%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
10%
+2.9pp
17%
Draw
17%
-0.0pp
71%
Away Win
73%
-2.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.4pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kahraba Ismailia EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 78%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.01/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.71
+40% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -9%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
232 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
19.0 Crosses 20.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kahraba Ismailia
2-4
AWAY Al Ahly
0.66 xG 0.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
239 Passes 357
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kahraba Ismailia vs Al Ahly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly saw off Kahraba Ismailia 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Kahraba Ismailia had 42% of the ball to Al Ahly's 58%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.66 to 0.83.

What was the final score of Kahraba Ismailia vs Al Ahly?

Kahraba Ismailia 2-4 Al Ahly in the Egypt - Premier League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kahraba Ismailia vs Al Ahly?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Kahraba Ismailia 13%, draw 17%, Al Ahly 71%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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