Haras El Hodood 0-3 Ceramica Cleopatra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.65
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
55%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.61
6+ Goals
6%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
13%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
27%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+4.3pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.5pp
55%
Away Win
55%
+0.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haras El Hodood EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 58%
+14% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.82/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.01
+43% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -3%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
203 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 82%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
16.2 Crosses 16.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haras El Hodood
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.39 xG 0.98
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
214 Passes 416
68% Pass Accuracy 81%
8 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2025 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 2-0 HT 1-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
24.11.2024 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 0-0 HT 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
05.03.2023 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 0-0 HT 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
12.12.2022 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 2-1 HT 2-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haras El Hodood
0-3
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
0.39 xG 0.91
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
225 Passes 476
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
7 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Haras El Hodood vs Ceramica Cleopatra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceramica Cleopatra cruised past Haras El Hodood 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ceramica Cleopatra as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Haras El Hodood had 36% of the ball to Ceramica Cleopatra's 64%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.39 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ceramica Cleopatra led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Haras El Hodood and 1.00 for Ceramica Cleopatra.

What was the final score of Haras El Hodood vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Haras El Hodood 0-3 Ceramica Cleopatra in the Egypt - Premier League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haras El Hodood vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ceramica Cleopatra win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Haras El Hodood 23%, draw 22%, Ceramica Cleopatra 55%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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