Juan Pablo II College 1-1 Melgar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 22 May 2026

📅22/05/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
47%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.8pp
47%
Away Win
42%
+5.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.1pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juan Pablo II College EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Melgar EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -15%
0.67/2.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.98
-58% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
14.1 Crosses 18.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juan Pablo II College
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Melgar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.61 xG 1.37
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
212 Passes 366
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 3
05.08.2025 Melgar Melgar 1-1 HT 1-0 Juan Pablo II College PER
02.07.2025 Juan Pablo II College 1-1 HT 0-1 Melgar Melgar PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juan Pablo II College
1-1
AWAY Melgar
0.78 xG 2.46
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 4
260 Passes 374
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Juan Pablo II College vs Melgar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juan Pablo II College and Melgar shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Melgar at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Juan Pablo II College had 44% of the ball to Melgar's 56%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 0.78 to 2.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Juan Pablo II College and 1.00 for Melgar.

What was the final score of Juan Pablo II College vs Melgar?

Juan Pablo II College 1-1 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 22/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juan Pablo II College vs Melgar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Juan Pablo II College 30%, draw 23%, Melgar 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Melgar), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melgar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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