Dandenong Thunder 1-0 Dandenong City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
50%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.43
Over 2.5
59%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
33%
-5.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
50%
Away Win
42%
+8.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.5pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Dandenong City EU Bookmakers 46%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.40/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/0.90
-11% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +59%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
291 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.9 Crosses 20.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dandenong Thunder
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Dandenong City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
2.74 xG 1.15
57% Ball Possession 43%
23 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
352 Passes 196
80% Pass Accuracy 64%
30 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.03.2024 Dandenong City Dandenong City 1-2 HT 0-2 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
25.06.2022 Dandenong City Dandenong City 1-3 HT 1-2 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
25.03.2022 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 2-2 HT 1-2 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
26.02.2021 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 1-1 HT 0-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Dandenong Thunder vs Dandenong City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dandenong Thunder squeezed past Dandenong City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Dandenong City at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Dandenong Thunder had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dandenong Thunder and 1.25 for Dandenong City.

What was the final score of Dandenong Thunder vs Dandenong City?

Dandenong Thunder 1-0 Dandenong City in the Australia - National Premier League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dandenong Thunder vs Dandenong City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dandenong City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dandenong Thunder 27%, draw 22%, Dandenong City 50%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dandenong City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
22 Jun 2024
06:00 Green Gully vs Oakleigh Cannons Analysis →
07:30 Adamstown Rosebuds vs Maitland Analysis →
08:00 O Connor Knights vs Canberra FC Analysis →
08:00 Croydon Kings vs Para Hills Knights Analysis →
08:00 Avondale Heights vs Manningham United Blues Analysis →
08:00 Cooma Tigers vs Monaro Panthers Analysis →