Floreat Athena 0-1 Perth Glory II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.14
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
64%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.32
No
38%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.5pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.8pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.3pp
36%
Under 2.5
28%
+8.1pp
64%
Over 2.5
72%
-8.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
72%
-9.7pp
38%
BTTS No
28%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floreat Athena EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory II EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.63/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/2.01
-12% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
344 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floreat Athena
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Perth Glory II
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.03.2024 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II 1-1 HT 1-1 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena AVNPL
23.02.2024 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena 2-4 HT 0-2 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II BAGS
26.08.2023 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena 2-2 HT 0-2 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVNPL
02.06.2023 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II 1-3 HT 1-2 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena AVNPL
25.06.2022 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena 4-0 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVNPL
01.04.2022 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II 1-3 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena AVNPL
POST-MATCH Floreat Athena vs Perth Glory II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perth Glory II edged past Floreat Athena 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Floreat Athena at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Floreat Athena had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Floreat Athena and 1.50 for Perth Glory II.

What was the final score of Floreat Athena vs Perth Glory II?

Floreat Athena 0-1 Perth Glory II in the Australia - National Premier League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floreat Athena vs Perth Glory II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Floreat Athena win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Floreat Athena 45%, draw 21%, Perth Glory II 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Floreat Athena) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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