NE MetroStars 5-1 Adelaide United II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
30%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
26%
Over 2.5
74%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%
1.38
No
30%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
66%
-17.8pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.2pp
30%
Away Win
16%
+13.7pp
70%
BTTS Yes
68%
+1.5pp
30%
BTTS No
32%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NE MetroStars EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide United II EU Bookmakers 20%
-23% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +39%
2.00/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/2.17
-11% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NE MetroStars
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Adelaide United II
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.03.2024 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 0-4 HT 0-2 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVSA
01.07.2023 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 1-2 HT 1-1 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVSA
08.04.2023 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 1-2 HT 0-1 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
20.08.2022 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 2-1 HT 1-1 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
23.07.2022 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 2-3 HT 1-2 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
23.04.2022 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 2-3 HT 2-0 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
POST-MATCH NE MetroStars vs Adelaide United II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NE MetroStars ran out comfortable winners over Adelaide United II 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had NE MetroStars as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (74%), both teams to score (70%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NE MetroStars had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for NE MetroStars and 1.50 for Adelaide United II.

What was the final score of NE MetroStars vs Adelaide United II?

NE MetroStars 5-1 Adelaide United II in the Australia - National Premier League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NE MetroStars vs Adelaide United II?

Before kick-off our model rated a NE MetroStars win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split NE MetroStars 48%, draw 22%, Adelaide United II 30%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NE MetroStars), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (NE MetroStars) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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