St George City FA 3-4 NWS Spirit — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒12:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
35%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.5pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.1pp
35%
Away Win
24%
+10.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.7pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St George City FA EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 28%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
2.00/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.73
+18% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.6 Crosses 14.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St George City FA
2W-1D-0L
AWAY NWS Spirit
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.88 xG 1.31
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
296 Passes 322
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 1-2 HT 2-2 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
27.05.2023 St George City FA St George City FA 3-0 HT 1-0 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
11.02.2023 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 2-2 HT 2-2 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
POST-MATCH St George City FA vs NWS Spirit
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NWS Spirit nicked a narrow win over St George City FA 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was St George City FA at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, St George City FA had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for St George City FA and 1.00 for NWS Spirit.

What was the final score of St George City FA vs NWS Spirit?

St George City FA 3-4 NWS Spirit in the Australia - National Premier League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St George City FA vs NWS Spirit?

Before kick-off our model rated a St George City FA win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split St George City FA 44%, draw 21%, NWS Spirit 35%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (St George City FA) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St George City FA) ✓ Over 2.5
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