Stirling Lions 3-1 Perth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.51
Over 2.5
64%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.8pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.2pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+8.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
36%
+0.1pp
64%
Over 2.5
64%
-0.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.1pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stirling Lions EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.28/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/2.23
-31% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
301 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stirling Lions
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Perth
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2024 Perth Perth 2-3 HT 2-0 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVNPL
25.02.2024 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions 2-0 Perth Perth BAGS
12.09.2023 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions 2-2 HT 1-1 Perth Perth AVNPL
19.08.2023 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions 0-3 Perth Perth AVNPL
06.05.2023 Perth Perth 0-4 HT 0-1 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVNPL
18.06.2022 Perth Perth 3-0 HT 1-0 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVNPL
POST-MATCH Stirling Lions vs Perth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stirling Lions beat Perth 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 21% / 39%) promised a tight game; Stirling Lions found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stirling Lions had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Stirling Lions and 1.67 for Perth.

What was the final score of Stirling Lions vs Perth?

Stirling Lions 3-1 Perth in the Australia - National Premier League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stirling Lions vs Perth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stirling Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stirling Lions 40%, draw 21%, Perth 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stirling Lions), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stirling Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
22 Jun 2024
06:00 Green Gully vs Oakleigh Cannons Analysis →
07:30 Adamstown Rosebuds vs Maitland Analysis →
08:00 O Connor Knights vs Canberra FC Analysis →
08:00 Croydon Kings vs Para Hills Knights Analysis →
08:00 Avondale Heights vs Manningham United Blues Analysis →
08:00 Cooma Tigers vs Monaro Panthers Analysis →