Perth 2-3 Stirling Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 22 Mar 2024

📅22/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
42%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
39%
-8.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+6.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.4pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Stirling Lions EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.44/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.24
-16% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Stirling Lions
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2024 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions 2-0 Perth Perth BAGS
12.09.2023 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions 2-2 HT 1-1 Perth Perth AVNPL
19.08.2023 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions 0-3 Perth Perth AVNPL
06.05.2023 Perth Perth 0-4 HT 0-1 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVNPL
18.06.2022 Perth Perth 3-0 HT 1-0 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVNPL
26.03.2022 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions 1-0 Perth Perth AVNPL
POST-MATCH Perth vs Stirling Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stirling Lions edged past Perth 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stirling Lions as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stirling Lions led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Perth and 1.50 for Stirling Lions.

What was the final score of Perth vs Stirling Lions?

Perth 2-3 Stirling Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth vs Stirling Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stirling Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Perth 31%, draw 27%, Stirling Lions 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stirling Lions), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stirling Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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