Gangwon 2-3 Gimcheon Sangmu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.74
6+ Goals
11%
15.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 30% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.15
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
22%
4.82
X/2
13%
6.27
X/X
14%
4.51
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
11%
4.54
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gangwon EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.31/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.23
+23% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
17.1 Crosses 16.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gangwon
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.04 xG 1.27
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 Passes 451
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
06.09.2022 Gangwon Gangwon 0-1 HT 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
08.07.2022 Gangwon Gangwon 3-2 HT 2-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
05.05.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
02.08.2020 Gangwon Gangwon 2-2 HT 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
16.05.2020 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 HT 1-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gangwon
2-3
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
456 Passes 276
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gangwon vs Gimcheon Sangmu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu edged past Gangwon 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Gangwon at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gangwon had 57% of the ball to Gimcheon Sangmu's 43%, shots finished 7-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimcheon Sangmu led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gangwon and 1.50 for Gimcheon Sangmu.

What was the final score of Gangwon vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Gangwon 2-3 Gimcheon Sangmu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gangwon vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gangwon win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gangwon 42%, draw 27%, Gimcheon Sangmu 31%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gangwon) ✗ Under 2.5
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