Yanbian Longding 1-0 Guangxi Baoyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.76
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.89
6+ Goals
8%
17.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.8pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.1pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+6.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.7pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 18%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.57/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.50
+22% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +102%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.4
19.7 Crosses 7.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yanbian Longding
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
0.71 xG 0.77
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
295 Passes 256
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
12.10.2024 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 3-2 HT 0-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
01.06.2024 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 2-4 HT 2-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
15.10.2023 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 2-2 HT 1-1 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
28.06.2023 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 2-1 HT 1-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yanbian Longding
1-0
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
1.24 xG 0.78
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 9
403 Passes 229
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Yanbian Longding vs Guangxi Baoyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yanbian Longding edged past Guangxi Baoyun 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Yanbian Longding as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Yanbian Longding had 60% of the ball to Guangxi Baoyun's 40%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.24 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Guangxi Baoyun led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Yanbian Longding and 2.75 for Guangxi Baoyun.

What was the final score of Yanbian Longding vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Yanbian Longding 1-0 Guangxi Baoyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yanbian Longding vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yanbian Longding win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Yanbian Longding 56%, draw 22%, Guangxi Baoyun 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yanbian Longding), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yanbian Longding) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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