Aktobe 0-1 FC Astana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
12%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+4.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-5.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.7pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aktobe EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Astana EU Bookmakers 49%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.57/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.79
+64% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aktobe
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Astana
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
27.10.2024 FC Astana FC Astana 2-0 HT 2-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
04.05.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
30.09.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
14.03.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 1-4 HT 0-2 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
26.06.2022 Aktobe Aktobe 4-1 HT 2-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
17.03.2022 FC Astana FC Astana 1-0 HT 1-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
POST-MATCH Aktobe vs FC Astana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Astana squeezed past Aktobe 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; FC Astana found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aktobe had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Aktobe and 1.00 for FC Astana.

What was the final score of Aktobe vs FC Astana?

Aktobe 0-1 FC Astana in the Kazakistan - Super League on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aktobe vs FC Astana?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aktobe 33%, draw 28%, FC Astana 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Astana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Astana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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