FC Astana 2-0 Aktobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.78
Over 2.5
39%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-11.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.2pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Astana EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Aktobe EU Bookmakers 20%
-13% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.67/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.26
-9% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / +31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Astana
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Aktobe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
30.09.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
14.03.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 1-4 HT 0-2 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
26.06.2022 Aktobe Aktobe 4-1 HT 2-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
17.03.2022 FC Astana FC Astana 1-0 HT 1-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
18.09.2021 FC Astana FC Astana 2-1 HT 2-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
POST-MATCH FC Astana vs Aktobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Astana beat Aktobe 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Astana as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aktobe led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Astana and 2.00 for Aktobe.

What was the final score of FC Astana vs Aktobe?

FC Astana 2-0 Aktobe in the Kazakistan - Super League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Astana vs Aktobe?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FC Astana 48%, draw 27%, Aktobe 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Astana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Astana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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