Shakhter Karagandy 1-1 Kyzyl-Zhar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+0.6pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.6pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-5.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhter Karagandy EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 51%
+10% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.93/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.44
+0% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +91%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhter Karagandy
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 0
29.06.2024 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 2-0 HT 0-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
13.08.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-1 HT 1-1 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
07.05.2023 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
19.06.2022 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 1-2 HT 1-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
10.03.2022 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-1 HT 0-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
17.08.2021 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 8-1 HT 2-1 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZKK
POST-MATCH Shakhter Karagandy vs Kyzyl-Zhar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhter Karagandy and Kyzyl-Zhar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kyzyl-Zhar at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kyzyl-Zhar led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Shakhter Karagandy and 2.17 for Kyzyl-Zhar.

What was the final score of Shakhter Karagandy vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Shakhter Karagandy 1-1 Kyzyl-Zhar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhter Karagandy vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kyzyl-Zhar win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Shakhter Karagandy 26%, draw 32%, Kyzyl-Zhar 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kyzyl-Zhar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kyzyl-Zhar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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