Cavalry 1-1 Forge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 22 Jul 2024

Cavalry
1-1 HT 0-0
Forge
📅22/07/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2024

Cavalry vs Forge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.81
No
63%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.95
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.95
6+ Goals
8%
18.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 36% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+7.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-7.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
51%
-14.3pp
63%
BTTS No
49%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cavalry v Forge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavalry EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Forge EU Bookmakers 34%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
0.94/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.32
-23% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
17.6 Crosses 11.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Cavalry vs Forge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavalry
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Forge
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.88 xG 0.57
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
394 Passes 311
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.06.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 1-0 HT 0-0 Forge Forge CAPL
13.04.2024 Forge Forge 2-1 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
29.10.2023 Forge Forge 2-1 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
15.10.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 1-2 HT 0-1 Forge Forge CAPL
10.09.2023 Forge Forge 0-0 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
05.08.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 3-0 HT 0-0 Forge Forge CAPL

Cavalry 1-1 Forge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavalry
1-1
AWAY Forge
1.92 xG 1.22
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
449 Passes 264
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cavalry vs Forge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry and Forge shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Cavalry had 62% of the ball to Forge's 38%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 1.92 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forge led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cavalry and 1.00 for Forge.

What was the final score of Cavalry vs Forge?

Cavalry 1-1 Forge in the Kanada - Premier League on 22/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavalry vs Forge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cavalry 37%, draw 27%, Forge 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cavalry), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cavalry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →