Alajuelense 2-1 Santos de Guapiles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 22 Jul 2024

📅22/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
71%
-12.3pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.6pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
2.33/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/2.17
+8% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 0
09.05.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-3 HT 0-2 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
02.03.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 4-0 HT 3-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
24.09.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 4-0 HT 3-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
27.07.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-1 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
13.03.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 0-2 HT 0-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
15.01.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-5 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
2-1
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
72% Ball Possession 28%
21 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs Santos de Guapiles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense squeezed past Santos de Guapiles 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alajuelense had 72% of the ball to Santos de Guapiles's 28%, shots finished 21-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Alajuelense and 0.50 for Santos de Guapiles.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Santos de Guapiles?

Alajuelense 2-1 Santos de Guapiles in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 22/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Santos de Guapiles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 59%, draw 23%, Santos de Guapiles 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Over 2.5
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