Alajuelense vs Santos de Guapiles Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alajuelense v Santos de Guapiles — Team-Based Signals
Alajuelense vs Santos de Guapiles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 3-0
Santos de Guapiles
KOSTA
0-1
HT 0-1
Alajuelense
KOSTA
0-2
HT 0-1
Santos de Guapiles
KOSTA
1-5
HT 0-1
Alajuelense
KOSTA
Alajuelense 2-1 Santos de Guapiles — Actual Match Statistics
Alajuelense squeezed past Santos de Guapiles 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Alajuelense had 72% of the ball to Santos de Guapiles's 28%, shots finished 21-6.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Alajuelense and 0.50 for Santos de Guapiles.
What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Santos de Guapiles?
Alajuelense 2-1 Santos de Guapiles in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 22/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Santos de Guapiles?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 59%, draw 23%, Santos de Guapiles 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.