Leon vs Necaxa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leon v Necaxa — Team-Based Signals
Leon vs Necaxa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Necaxa
MEK
2-1
HT 0-1
Necaxa
MEK
3-2
HT 3-0
Leon
MEK
0-1
HT 0-1
Leon
MEK
3-0
HT 1-0
Necaxa
MEK
Leon 1-1 Necaxa — Actual Match Statistics
Leon and Necaxa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Leon had 66% of the ball to Necaxa's 34%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.73 to 0.37.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leon had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Leon and 1.00 for Necaxa.
What was the final score of Leon vs Necaxa?
Leon 1-1 Necaxa in the Mexico - Primera on 22/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leon vs Necaxa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leon win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Leon 37%, draw 28%, Necaxa 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leon) went the other way.