Hamrun Spartans 0-3 Dynamo Kiev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 22 Jul 2025

📅22/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.4
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
51%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
4.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
2.88
6+ Goals
9%
8.52
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.11 — our 32% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
32%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
15%
+10.6pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.2pp
51%
Away Win
66%
-14.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +150%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
207 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 515 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamrun Spartans
0-3
AWAY Dynamo Kiev
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hamrun Spartans vs Dynamo Kiev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Kiev swept aside Hamrun Spartans 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dynamo Kiev as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hamrun Spartans had 40% of the ball to Dynamo Kiev's 60%, shots finished 5-11.

What was the final score of Hamrun Spartans vs Dynamo Kiev?

Hamrun Spartans 0-3 Dynamo Kiev in the Champions League on 22/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamrun Spartans vs Dynamo Kiev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dynamo Kiev win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hamrun Spartans 26%, draw 24%, Dynamo Kiev 51%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Kiev), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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