Rigas Skola 1-4 Malmö FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 22 Jul 2025

📅22/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.02
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.58
6+ Goals
10%
14.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+6.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-4.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
190 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rigas Skola
1-4
AWAY Malmö FF
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Rigas Skola vs Malmö FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF ran out comfortable winners over Rigas Skola 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Malmö FF as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Rigas Skola had 42% of the ball to Malmö FF's 58%, shots finished 6-17.

What was the final score of Rigas Skola vs Malmö FF?

Rigas Skola 1-4 Malmö FF in the Champions League on 22/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rigas Skola vs Malmö FF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rigas Skola 32%, draw 24%, Malmö FF 43%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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