Pafos FC 1-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 22 Jul 2025

Pafos FC
1-1 HT 0-0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
📅22/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Champions League – 2025/2026

Pafos FC vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
18.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 31% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+4.3pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.0pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.1pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pafos FC v Maccabi Tel Aviv — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pafos FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 4.0

Pafos FC 1-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pafos FC
1-1
AWAY Maccabi Tel Aviv
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pafos FC vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pafos FC and Maccabi Tel Aviv couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Pafos FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Pafos FC had 40% of the ball to Maccabi Tel Aviv's 60%, shots finished 7-9.

What was the final score of Pafos FC vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Pafos FC 1-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv in the Champions League on 22/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pafos FC vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pafos FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Pafos FC 45%, draw 23%, Maccabi Tel Aviv 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pafos FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pafos FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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