Shkendija 79 1-0 FCSB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 22 Jul 2025

📅22/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
43%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.6
Over 2.5
34%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.13
No
64%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
2.43
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.48
6+ Goals
7%
24.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.43 — our 39% vs market 33.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
19%
+13.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
44%
Away Win
55%
-11.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+7.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-7.4pp
36%
BTTS Yes
43%
-6.5pp
64%
BTTS No
57%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shkendija 79 EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY FCSB EU Bookmakers 58%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -15%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
256 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shkendija 79
1-0
AWAY FCSB
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shkendija 79 vs FCSB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shkendija 79 edged past FCSB 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FCSB at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Shkendija 79 had 38% of the ball to FCSB's 62%, shots finished 9-18.

What was the final score of Shkendija 79 vs FCSB?

Shkendija 79 1-0 FCSB in the Champions League on 22/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shkendija 79 vs FCSB?

Before kick-off our model rated an FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Shkendija 79 33%, draw 24%, FCSB 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FCSB) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FCSB) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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