Matlock Town vs Buxton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Matlock Town v Buxton — Team-Based Signals
Matlock Town vs Buxton Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Matlock Town
İNGNLP
2-1
HT 0-1
Buxton
İNGNLP
Matlock Town 1-4 Buxton — Actual Match Statistics
Buxton cruised past Matlock Town 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Buxton as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Matlock Town had 42% of the ball to Buxton's 58%, shots finished 9-8.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Matlock Town and 1.00 for Buxton.
What was the final score of Matlock Town vs Buxton?
Matlock Town 1-4 Buxton in the Friendlies on 22/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Matlock Town vs Buxton?
Before kick-off our model rated an Buxton win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Matlock Town 26%, draw 30%, Buxton 44%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buxton) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.