Retz vs Red Star Penzing Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Retz v Red Star Penzing — Team-Based Signals
Retz 1-2 Red Star Penzing — Actual Match Statistics
Red Star Penzing squeezed past Retz 2-1 away from home.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Retz at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) came in.
On the day, Retz had 60% of the ball to Red Star Penzing's 40%, shots finished 16-10.
What was the final score of Retz vs Red Star Penzing?
Retz 1-2 Red Star Penzing in the Friendlies on 22/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Retz vs Red Star Penzing?
Before kick-off our model rated a Retz win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Retz 58%, draw 21%, Red Star Penzing 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Retz) went the other way.