Libertad 1-0 Delfin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 22 Jul 2026

📅22/07/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.0pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Delfin EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -16%
1.29/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.21
+5% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
19.1 Crosses 16.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Delfin
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.73 xG 1.55
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
251 Passes 232
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.03.2026 Delfin Delfin 0-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
02.09.2025 Delfin Delfin 0-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
11.05.2025 Libertad Libertad 0-1 HT 0-1 Delfin Delfin EKV1
31.08.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-0 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
26.03.2024 Delfin Delfin 1-1 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad EKV1
17.08.2023 Libertad Libertad 1-3 HT 0-1 Delfin Delfin EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
1-0
AWAY Delfin
0.95 xG 1.90
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
305 Passes 262
22 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Libertad vs Delfin
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Libertad edged past Delfin 1-0 in the Ecuador - Premier on 22 Jul 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 41% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 0.95 to 1.90.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Delfin lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Libertad and 0.83 for Delfin.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Delfin?

Libertad 1-0 Delfin in the Ecuador - Premier on 22/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Delfin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Libertad 40%, draw 29%, Delfin 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Libertad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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