Libertad 0-1 Delfin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Delfin EU Bookmakers 22%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +16%
1.63/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.52
+14% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 74%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
17.6 Crosses 12.9
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Delfin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.98 xG 1.96
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
275 Passes 230
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-0 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
26.03.2024 Delfin Delfin 1-1 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad EKV1
17.08.2023 Libertad Libertad 1-3 HT 0-1 Delfin Delfin EKV1
18.03.2023 Delfin Delfin 3-2 HT 2-1 Libertad Libertad EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
0-1
AWAY Delfin
0.61 xG 0.41
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
300 Passes 154
78% Pass Accuracy 65%
32 Box Touches 9
31 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Libertad vs Delfin
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Delfin edged past Libertad 1-0 away from home in the Ecuador - Premier on 11 May 2025.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Libertad had 62% of the ball to Delfin's 38%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 0.61 to 0.41.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, Delfin lead the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Libertad and 1.75 for Delfin.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Delfin?

Libertad 0-1 Delfin in the Ecuador - Premier on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Delfin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Libertad 50%, draw 26%, Delfin 24%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Libertad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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