Tecnico Universitario 1-2 Independiente Del Valle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 11 May 2025

Tecnico Universitario
1-2 HT 0-1
Independiente Del Valle
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2025

Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tecnico Universitario v Independiente Del Valle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
1.40/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.21
+1% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -33%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
19.3 Crosses 16.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5

Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente Del Valle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tecnico Universitario
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.75 xG 1.16
36% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
171 Passes 394
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.08.2024 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
22.03.2024 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
24.09.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 2-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
22.04.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-0 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
11.10.2022 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 0-1 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
15.05.2022 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 2-3 HT 1-2 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1

Tecnico Universitario 1-2 Independiente Del Valle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tecnico Universitario
1-2
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
2.10 xG 2.30
39% Ball Possession 61%
19 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 10
250 Passes 416
80% Pass Accuracy 89%
29 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente Del Valle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle nicked a narrow win over Tecnico Universitario 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Independiente Del Valle made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tecnico Universitario had 39% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 61%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 2.10 to 2.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tecnico Universitario and 1.33 for Independiente Del Valle.

What was the final score of Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente Del Valle?

Tecnico Universitario 1-2 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente Del Valle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tecnico Universitario 35%, draw 27%, Independiente Del Valle 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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