Uni. Catolica 2-2 Barcelona SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 11 May 2025

Uni. Catolica
2-2 HT 0-1
Barcelona SC
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Ecuador - Premier – 2026

Uni. Catolica vs Barcelona SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.91
Over 2.5
58%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.81
No
42%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.0pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-6.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+6.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.4pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uni. Catolica v Barcelona SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.96/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.55
+4% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
327 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 76%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
19.1 Crosses 15.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.4

Uni. Catolica vs Barcelona SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni. Catolica
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Barcelona SC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.85 xG 0.76
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
319 Passes 304
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.08.2024 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
02.05.2024 Uni. Catolica 0-1 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
04.12.2023 Uni. Catolica 0-1 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
19.06.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-2 HT 0-2 Uni. Catolica EKV1
14.08.2022 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
02.04.2022 Uni. Catolica 1-2 HT 0-2 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1

Uni. Catolica 2-2 Barcelona SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
2-2
AWAY Barcelona SC
1.51 xG 1.71
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 1
353 Passes 254
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Uni. Catolica vs Barcelona SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica and Barcelona SC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Uni. Catolica at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Uni. Catolica had 58% of the ball to Barcelona SC's 42%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 1.51 to 1.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona SC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Uni. Catolica and 1.00 for Barcelona SC.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs Barcelona SC?

Uni. Catolica 2-2 Barcelona SC in the Ecuador - Premier on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs Barcelona SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 47%, draw 24%, Barcelona SC 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Uni. Catolica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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