Bologna 1-1 Heidenheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 22 Jul 2026

📅22/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
40%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.38
Over 2.5
60%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.81
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
29%
2.67
6+ Goals
10%
6.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.8
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.4
X/1
15%
5.22
X/2
11%
7.0
X/X
10%
5.77
2/1
6%
21.2
2/2
20%
4.4
2/X
7%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.5 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-8.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+9.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.8pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bologna EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Heidenheim EU Bookmakers 34%
-58% / -58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/1.57
-100% / -71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bologna
1-1
AWAY Heidenheim
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bologna vs Heidenheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bologna and Heidenheim shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 18-9.

What was the final score of Bologna vs Heidenheim?

Bologna 1-1 Heidenheim in the Friendlies on 22/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bologna vs Heidenheim?

Before kick-off our model rated an Heidenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bologna 37%, draw 23%, Heidenheim 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Heidenheim), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Heidenheim) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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