Nottingham Forest 3-0 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 22 Jul 2026

📅22/07/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.23
Over 2.5
44%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
4.39
2-3 Goals
36%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
2.79
6+ Goals
9%
7.81
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.39 — our 34% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.98
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.5
X/1
16%
4.23
X/2
8%
10.3
X/X
15%
6.21
2/1
7%
19.9
2/2 EV+ ✗
15%
7.67
2/X
4%
16.05
Value flag · 2/2 at 7.67 — our 15% vs market 9.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
59%
-14.1pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.5pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+9.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
41%
+15.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
59%
-15.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.6pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 23%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.65/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/2.53
-68% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -32%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nottingham Forest
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.86 xG 0.76
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
246 Passes 341
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-4 HT 1-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNLK
09.02.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL
18.08.2021 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-2 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
20.02.2021 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-0 HT 1-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
17.10.2020 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL
01.01.2020 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 3-2 HT 2-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest
3-0
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest swept aside Blackburn Rovers 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nottingham Forest as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 8-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nottingham Forest had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nottingham Forest and 0.83 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest vs Blackburn Rovers?

Nottingham Forest 3-0 Blackburn Rovers in the Friendlies on 22/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nottingham Forest win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest 45%, draw 26%, Blackburn Rovers 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nottingham Forest), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nottingham Forest) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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